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No fuel for the property market? Not likely!

Published: 08/10/2021 By Jamie Minors

We’re running out of fuel?!

Another twist to 2021 has hit us over the past few weeks, with people queuing up at fuel stations, absurd panic buying and genuine concern for those in the services to be able to access fuel easily. I am a property expert, and not a fuel or logistics expert, however, what seems like a change in supply has caused the media to create a marketing hype and has pushed demand through the roof. Does this sound familiar?
 
As the U.K. sees house price growth at 13.2% from June 2020-June 2021, much debate goes on as to whether the fuel for the housing market would run out when the stamp duty holiday ends. Many have reported an expected correction or dip in the housing market, however, please remember this has been suggested regularly since 2015! I distinctly remember having this debate with a gentleman on a viewing in Tombland back in 2016, as he felt prices would drop 30% post Brexit vote due to media reports. This gentleman offered 20% below the asking price, and surprisingly, he didn’t get the property.

I live in the housing market, 7 days a week, 365 days of the year and this spike has not just been due to stamp duty, it has been due to many other factors. The demand for a study, the work from home culture, the ‘he/she shed’ in the garden, the need for first-time buyers to have their own space, cheap borrowing, the mini baby boom…the list goes on.
 
As I and my colleagues get up early to ensure we have sufficient fuel for our back to back valuation and viewing diaries each day, we are not seeing the market dip, nor will it any time soon. Things have cooled slightly, and need to cool further for sustainable house price growth, as a further 13.2% increase in one year is not healthy for our economy. I predict house prices to continue to rise but by a more ‘normal’ increase of around 3%-4% per annum.

The simplest way for me to describe the housing market to those who ask me. Supply is still not meeting high demand and whilst there is affordable lending available, house prices will continue to increase until this changes. We are not building enough homes, buyers of all shapes and sizes are still registering with us in abundance and there are incredible fixed mortgage rate deals at 0.79% over base rate!
 
From the day to day analytics we study and obsess over, all of the above is completely relevant unless Mr Gove makes big changes. The U.K housing minister, Mr Jenrick, has been replaced by Mr Gove, who is tasked with meeting the government’s 300,000 homes built per year target. Interestingly, Mr Gove appealed against a 1,500 homes development back in 2019, as he was ‘deeply concerned' about altering the character of his village.

With Autumn on our doorstep, I cannot foresee a big overhaul happening, which means we still have an exciting housing market in Norfolk and in the U.K. Buyers still want to buy, sellers still want to sell, people are still making huge lifestyle changes following on from the pandemic and the banks/lenders are still offering cheap borrowing. Autumn is still a fantastic time to sell your home, as a higher proportion of serious and ready to go buyers enter the market, with some hoping to get moved before Christmas.  

If you are thinking of making a lifestyle change and want a marketing appraisal and valuation of your home, please get in touch with one of my local branches, or me personally at our Unthank Road branch on 01603 365085 or jamie@minorsandbrady.co.uk & I’ll do my best to help you with your move.